Saturday, November 1, 2008

3M = Miller-Meeks Momentum

Congressman Dave Loebsack is in real trouble. Yesterday the Miller-Meeks campaign released internal polling numbers to Jim Lynch of the Cedar Rapids Gazette. The poll showed incumbent Rep. Dave Loebsack leading 45.4 percent to 42.7 percent with a 2.06 percent margin of error. An incumbent polling at 45% just days before Election Day is lethal.

The Loebsack campaign questioned the numbers, suggesting they were the result of “soft methodology,” not a significant shift in voters’ sentiment and Loebsack’s spokesperson said, “These numbers are manufactured.” Now let’s compare this development to what happened in the 4th CD list last week. The Greenwald campaign released a poll showing Latham with a 5 point lead, the Latham campaign countered with numbers of their own which showed a much larger lead for the Congressman. The simple fact that Loebsack’s campaign didn’t counter with their own internal numbers tells you all you need to know, Miller-Meeks campaign has caught fire and Loebsack is in real trouble.

Also in this morning’s Gazette is their endorsement for the 2nd Congressional District. Sorry Dave, its more bad news as they enthusiastically endorsed Miller-Meeks.

“We were pretty comfortable with endorsing Loebsack for a second term ... until we met Mariannette Miller-Meeks. The dynamo Ottumwa Republican physician and military veteran, who entered college at age 16, runs a small business and has been president of the Iowa Medical Society and a university professor. She impressed us with her command of key issues and a track record that proves she gets things done.”

Ummm Dave, it looks like you should have run a more aggressive campaign, because your headed back to school, not Congress.

So while the Des Moines Register has been obsessed with Becky Greenwald, it’s now obvious that if Iowa is going to elect a female to congress for the first time it’s going to be Dr. Miller-Meeks. Many people are now aware of her amazing life story of her continuously pulling herself up by her boot straps, but don’t over look what she has over come in this campaign.

1. She wasn’t given a chance in the primary because she wasn’t from Cedar Rapids or Iowa City.

2. She was quickly written off after the primary because of the voter registration numbers in the District.

3. The entire district was affected by the massive June floods making it difficult to campaign and raise money.

4. Former Congressman Jim Leach endorsed Obama, putting her in a difficult position in her race to take back his seat.

Despite all of that she soldiered on and is now in a great position to win a seat in Congress.

26 comments:

  1. Kim Lehman is gonna be PISSED if MMM wins - she didn't pass the Right to Life purity test and Kim hasn't done a thing to help her get elected. This just sets up a bigger civil war within the GOP after the election.
    (Hopefully the MMM branch of the party can drive the Steve Deace wing back under the rocks)

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  2. I disagree. Kim Lehman needs to pray that MMM can pull it off, because if she loses by a few votes its going to be really bad for Kim. I would hope we could all focus on beating Loebsack these final days and worry about Kim AFTER the election.

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  3. OMG she's gonna pull this off, isn't she?

    This is awesome!

    I agree, if Loebsack had numbers, he would be shouting them from the mountaintops. He doesn't have any, or worse yet, he's got them and they show the same thing.

    Loebsteak, well done, please. Pass the A-1

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  4. OMG she's gonna pull this off, isn't she?

    This is awesome!

    I agree, if Loebsack had numbers, he would be shouting them from the mountaintops. He doesn't have any, or worse yet, he's got them and they show the same thing.

    Loebsteak, well done, please. Pass the A-1

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  5. I am so proud to be a Republicn woman: we obviously have the intelligence and work ethic to get things done at home and work ( see 3M and Palin).

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  6. Folks...

    We still need to work as if we're 10 points down.

    Make the phone calls.. Talk to the voters..knock on the doors.

    It Aint Over..Til Its Over...

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  7. I agree with Cedar Waxwing. We have to keep pushing to overcome the sameday registration push they are no doubt putting together right now.

    Please don't leave anything to chance. Call your local headquarters and offer to take a shift on the phones, or to help with a lit drop

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  8. Miller Meeks hasnt a chance. D2 is the most Democratic in Iowa, sorry

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  9. 1:28, care to put your name by that prediction?

    Given by your knowledge of this race, get your news from the Register, you must.

    By 3 points, M Cubed wins.

    I have forseen it....

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  10. Krusty is an ignorant fool.

    Yap, yap, yap...

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  11. register sucks assNovember 1, 2008 at 3:28 PM

    Hey 3:25 is your name Rekha or Carolyn Washburn?

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  12. Oh, "Register sucks ass," go lick a dick and shut the hell up.

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  13. this poll is almost a week old.

    the surge continues.

    keep your head down and get out the vote, we can all still find a few more votes.

    MMM has an Excellent chance to pull this off but Loebsack will get some last minute vibe.

    we need to withstand that.

    MILLER MEEKS ROCKS!!!

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  14. Just like Teahan never issued a concession, Lehman will never admit she was wrong. Class acts both of them - not.

    Lehman's gone anyway - too late.

    hmmm... where has Lisa Smith been in all this discussion... We've heard that David and Jason have asked for KL's resignation or removal from the SCC and as Nat'l Committee woman.

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  15. I would like to know what the rest of the State Central Committee thinks of of this Kim Lehman disgrace? Especially those in the Fourth and Fifth Congressional Districts. The 2nd District members have voiced their opinions, its time for the rest of them to get off the fence and make a decision or are you afraid to?

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  16. my sense is they are waiting until after the election.

    However, they should expect a crowd at the next SCC meeting if they don't find a way to remove her before...

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  17. Wow. That's great news! Go MMM!

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  18. I can see there is lots of KoolAid being consumed in the 2nd district. It would be great to see MMM elected. Just like it would be great to see McCain elected. Both are long shots, even if your polling numbers are moving in the right direction. We're 2 days from election.

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  19. Annon 4:38, why are you such a debbie downer? Could you be a PACMAN staffer??

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  20. PAC-MAN?

    I guess you are refering to MMM before the sex change...

    Check her record, she takes money from PAC's by the thousands too.

    And talking about a hottie! MMM is right up their with Barbara Bush and Cheney's lesbian daughter!

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  21. Krusty, you are smoking crack. Loebsack has DOUBLE the number of early votes in the bank over Miller-Meeks. Plus, she has ZERO name ID in the northern tier of the district. She has some name ID in Ottumwa due to her medical practice, but that's it. There is NO WAY she overcomes the surge in voting from Iowa City or Cedar Rapids....

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  22. Why must Dems run candidates with "sack" in their name?
    Vil and now Loeb?

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  23. Loebsack Isn't Worth a Sack of....November 3, 2008 at 7:04 AM

    Zero name ID in the northern part of the district? Really? The Cedar Rapids Gazette would disagree with you anon.

    Gotta love the Loebsack staff trolling the blogs..

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  24. The Force is with M CubedNovember 3, 2008 at 12:06 PM

    Since the Sack's staff is checking out the blogs before their government paychecks dry up, I thought I'd ask them a question.

    How did you kids like escorting your candidate through a sea of Miller-Meeks supporters that were singing and dancing to Pac-Man Fever outside KCRG? It didn't seem that the Sack liked it very much. Hope you didn't get in too much trouble for that.

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  25. That's what Teahen saidNovember 3, 2008 at 12:21 PM

    Zero name ID? DOH!

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